USCIS reports that 80% of Form I-914 (T visa) cases are currently completed within 32 months, based on the agency’s live Case Processing Times tool.[i] The agency’s own historical data shows the median T-1 case took 28.4 months in fiscal year 2026, through May 31, 2026, up from 14.9 months just two fiscal years earlier.[ii]

Those numbers describe the T visas in general. For an individual applicant, they raise the question of what this means for their individual cases.

Using USCIS’s own published statistics, it is possible to build a data-based estimate for any filing period. Applying that method to a case filed in January 2025, for example, finds that at the pace USCIS is adjudicating T-1 cases right now, that case is not projected to reach a decision until on the order of 2042, a total wait of roughly 17 years from filing to decision.

This post explains where that number comes from and how anyone can check it.

This post shares several insights from AAO T visa opinions involving smuggling and border-related fact patterns. The review draws from decisions in our database issued from 2007 through June 2026 and highlights recurring themes in how the agency analyzes whether conduct occurring during a smuggling operation also constitutes trafficking.

CAST reviewed 1,440 nonprecedent Administrative Appeals Office opinions issued between 2006 and June 2026. The dataset includes both Form I-914 T nonimmigrant status cases and applications to adjust status based on T status.

In recent years, the number of T visa applications filed by victims of trafficking has seen a dramatic increase. This rise underscores both the growing awareness of the T visa program and the increasing need for protections afforded under this visa category. However, this influx of applications has also had a noticeable effect on the rate at which cases are adjudicated, raising important questions about the system’s capacity to handle the rising demand while maintaining robust protections for survivors.

CAST has compiled the latest data on T nonimmigrant (I-914) AAO decisions for the year 2024, offering a focused look into the outcomes and bases of denial in cases related to human trafficking. A total of 20 cases have been published by the AAO, highlighting critical trends that shape the landscape of T nonimmigrant and T adjustment of status appeals.